If the phenomenon has not yet occurred, these countries nevertheless seem to have already met all the conditions for mass crimes to occur.
In any case, this is the premonition of the Early Warning Project (EWP). In a recently released report, the US Holocaust Memorial Museum project compiles a list of countries at risk of mass killings in 2019-20.
This, based on several statistical data. « We use publicly available statistical data and modeling to produce a list of countries ranked according to their estimated risk of experiencing a new episode, or a start, of a massacre, » reads the EWP website. .
According to the organizers of the structure, these data are available to institutions, including governments to take preventive measures so as to spare humanity from atrocities like those of the Nazis during the Second World War.
And yet, despite initiatives such as the Nuremberg trial, the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) or the International Criminal Court (ICC), humanity does not seem to be out of the woods yet, according to the EWP.
Among the factors, there are prominent political and ethnic tensions likely to provoke or legitimize ethnic cleansing, bombardment of localities or collective rapes.